Business

Is he building the German Polymarket?

Using the app, people are supposed to bet on events in sports, politics and everyday life – and thus provide data about the mood in society.

Vincent Betz is building an app in which people can place bets on sports, politics and everyday life.

Vincent Betz is building an app in which people can place bets on sports, politics and everyday life.
Photo: Martin UK Lengemann; Collage: Amelie Prusseit

He has just made his exit – now Vincent Betz is programming the next app: Prediqu. Users should use it to make predictions about politics, sports and everyday life. Who will be soccer world champion? Will a female prime minister remain in office? Does a particular train arrive on time?

“The vision is a prediction market – initially for Germany, later for Europe,” says Vincent. The surveys are intended to reflect the mood in society and provide data for the media, researchers and companies.

Vincent is a participant in our startup camp “Start-up scene is looking for super founders”. For ten weeks, eight fellows will build their own consumer apps using various AI models.

Startup scene is looking for super founders” is a ten-week startup fellowship from Gründerszene. Eight selected fellows develop consumer startups in Berlin using artificial intelligence – from the idea to the first product. During the program, the fellows work together in the Axel Springer high-rise and are accompanied by experienced entrepreneurs, investors and experts. Partners like OpenAI, Vercel, Dash0 and DHL support them with technology, know-how and mentoring. Gründerszene documents the entire journey with articles, videos and social media content – and shows up close how the next generation of startups is being created today.

Place bets via app: on news, sports and everyday life

Vincent knows a lot about coding. He studied management and computer science for five years and spent a semester abroad in Berkeley. At the elite university he learns how to make companies more visible in AI systems like ChatGPT. With the know-how, he founded a startup in 2025 – and sold it a few months ago. The topic is exciting, but “just not my world,” he says.

After the exit, “I spoke to people from my network every day and tried to find out what topics were currently exciting.” Vincent opts for prediction markets, i.e. platforms that are intended to predict future events. Kicktipp offers it as a game in which users bet on sports results. At the market leader Polymarket, hundreds of thousands of users even bet money on certain events. “This shows how great the interest in such playful competitions can be,” says Vincent.

He wants to expand the principle in Germany and add news topics. For every correct prediction, users collect points and can compete with friends in rankings or private leagues. First of all, it’s about playful competition. In the long term, the predictions of many users should produce reliable data that shows which developments society considers likely.

The most important factor for his future app is fun. “People have to be willing to talk about it and discuss it together.” People could bet on the kebab price. “Almost everyone knows the discussion about how a kebab costs seven or eight euros today,” says Vincent. “You could make predictions or ask whether the price will be above or below a certain value by the end of the year. Such topics attract a lot of people because everyone knows them.” The mix of everyday life, humor and competition brings users to his site.

From MVP concept to prototype: This is how the AI ​​agent helps

Vincent also wants to integrate his tool into news sites. Readers should then answer questions under articles, for example about the outcome of an election. The publishers would pay him money for it, that’s the idea. “Such collaborations could help finance the platform in the early stages,” he says. As soon as enough users are active, the data could potentially become interesting – for stock exchanges, investors or market research companies.

In his first week at “Start-up scene is looking for super founders” he wants to “get to know the right people as quickly as possible.” He also defines the smallest possible version of his product – a so-called Minimum Viable Product (MVP). “Then I documented everything in great detail. I wrote a detailed document for myself in which every single step was described – from the basic idea to all the functions that the product should later have.”

Vincent wants to generate 1000 users after its launch.

Vincent wants to generate 1000 users after its launch.
Founder scene

He then interviews an AI agent whom he trained with positive examples of apps and project plans. That takes a whole day. “You can think of it as a long to-do list with about 150 individual tasks.” These include: “build the cards for the frontend”, “set up the database”, “populate it with sample data”, “implement the Google login” or “connect the application to a specific API”.

The AI ​​agent then asks questions, “points out possible problems and requests additional decisions. Only when all open questions have been clarified does it break the project down into many individual work steps.”

At the same time, he gets feedback from his mentor, experienced founders and friends. After a week, the website for his project, Prediqu, is up and running. “You like to sit behind the laptop and keep developing because it’s fun. It’s much more difficult to show the product early and withstand honest criticism. It can happen that you’ve worked on something for three days or three weeks and then realize that no one needs it. That’s exactly why you should release it as quickly as possible.”

Later, users could also place bets on his platform with cash stakes, suggests Vincent. However, he must first check the gambling laws in Germany and other countries. First of all, users should place bets in a free points system.

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Vincent’s top learning after a week

Vincent’s most important learning: “Before, I had little insight into how media companies actually work. It was precisely these insights that I found particularly exciting. In the end, every startup needs publicity. I also learned how short the paths can sometimes be. You suddenly have direct access to people who are among the best in their field and can help you specifically.”

The first conclusion: “We meet founders, CEOs or CTOs of successful companies almost every day. Typically you have these conversations maybe once or twice a year – if at all. Here it happens every day. So I would almost be ashamed if I didn’t take full advantage of this opportunity. For me that means starting in the morning, working late into the night and taking advantage of every opportunity. That’s the best way to show appreciation for this program.”

Goal for the second week: “I want to prepare for the first major launch. So far I’ve invested almost all of my time in product development. Marketing and content are next on the list.” He wants to encourage 1,000 people to use his site, especially through social media content.

“Start-up scene is looking for super founders” powered by Dash0, DHL, OpenAI & Vercel.



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